Hi there!
I’m Joff, a PhD student in Political Science at the University of Mannheim and a researcher at the Mannheim Centre for European Social Research.
I have a background in Data Science and Public Policy from the Hertie School.
Please see my Academic CV and my Recent Projects.
Summary
I’m a passionate Bayesian modeller fascinated by complex social phenomena and their non-linear dynamics. I combine probabilistic methods with solid social science theory to study emergent societal change through the processes and behaviours that underlie it.
Research Areas of Interest
- Electoral behaviour, public opinion dynamics
- Collective action, preferences and choice
- Social movements & networks, social influence
- Diffusion of information, norms, behaviours
- Climate change attitudes, social tipping processes
I’ve recently worked mostly with opinion poll panels, census, and related survey data with a focus on political party preferences, vote switching, and the dynamics of voter behaviour.